To make assumptions about a trainers ability (or lack of ability) you should have data on a minimum of 25 races.
Since thoroughbred fields average between 8 and 10 runners, a trainer should win at least 10-12% of his races to be considered average.
Since racetracks return about 80 cents of each wagering dollar, approximately $1.60 should be considered the "normal" return on each $2.00 bet. A trainer who provides a return greater than $1.60 for each $2 wager is a better than average trainer.
Trainer stats should never be used as a substitute for handicapping, but should be used as a supplement for your usual methods.
Use basic handicapping techniques to divide the field into three groups: contenders, pretenders (those with question marks), and toss outs. Factors involved in handicapping are speed, pace, class, and form. Apply trainer stats to determine which is the top choice of the group of contenders and pretenders.
Thursday, March 8, 2012
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